Sunday, 10 August 2025

A brief history of the green agenda, Part Three: 2019 to now

This is the last in a set of three essays on the history of the deep green agenda, which has been pushed on us by the United Nations and other alarmists for more than 50 years. And in particular, of the “climate change” part of that agenda.

This essay will cover the period from 2019 to the present. Some of it is a précis of parts of an earlier, more detailed essay: [[i]].

In the second essay in this set, I left till later the history of anti-car policies in the UK. I shall, therefore, exclude that particular aspect of the green agenda from the present screed, and will return to it later.

Extinction Rebellion

April 30th, 2019 was a bad day for every human being in the UK. That day marked the start of a huge wave of government activity, all directed towards killing the freedoms and prosperity of ordinary people, in the name of some claimed (but, in reality, non-existent) climate crisis.

On that day, minister Michael Gove met with Extinction Rebellion (XR). The chumminess of this meeting was very concerning. And they got to see Labour politicians, and the mayor of London, on the same visit.

XR has subsequently carried out protests, causing much damage to property and serious inconvenience to many thousands of people, particularly in London. It has also been accused of being a terrorist organization.

“Climate emergency”

On the day following that meeting, the UK parliament declared a “climate emergency.” Without any evidence that any such emergency existed, and without even taking a vote.

In any case, as I showed in a recent essay here [[ii]], there is in reality no “climate crisis.” The “emergency” of May 1st, 2019 only existed in the minds of those seeking to use climate alarm as an excuse to hurt innocent people. Objectively, it was a scam.

Nett zero

In June 2019, the Tory government put forward, and the parliament passed, a bill to set “a target for at least a 100% reduction of greenhouse gas emissions (compared to 1990 levels) in the UK by 2050.” (At least 100%? Maybe more? Crazy).

This target, called “nett zero,” replaced an earlier target of an 80% cut from 1990 levels. This was at least the fourth time since 1992 that the UK government had moved the emissions goalposts. Always in the direction of greater reductions, of course.

The Committee on Climate Change (CCC), chaired by John Selwyn Gummer, also known as Lord Deben, issued a report that supposedly “justified” this. But it said little more than that they reckoned the cost of “nett zero” measures might be 1-2% of UK GDP in 2050. That is hardly an objective or exhaustive analysis! The CCC is supposed to be an independent and impartial advisory body. But in my view, it’s about as impartial as Extinction Rebellion.

UK Climate Assembly

Parliament also initiated a scheme of “citizens’ climate assemblies,” one of the demands put forward by Extinction Rebellion. It’s very concerning that in a so-called “democracy,” those who are supposed to serve the people kow-towed to disruptive extremists, but never even bothered to ask us the people what we thought.

Absolute Zero

In November 2019, a joint report called “Absolute Zero” was published by five UK universities, using the collective moniker “UK FIRES.” It proposed to force on to us “incremental changes to our habits and technologies,” including cutting energy use by at least 40%, giving up eating beef and lamb, and ceasing to use cement.

The proposals came over like the edicts of a crazed, ultra-conservative dictator. And they made Soviet five-year plans look like a cake-walk.

The general election of 2019

In a sense, the UK general election of December 2019 didn’t change anything, because it kept the Tories in power. One issue completely dominated that election: Brexit. But the Tory manifesto proposed “the most ambitious environmental programme of any country on earth.” Many people, who wanted Brexit but didn’t care a damn about the green agenda, were fooled into voting for that agenda by the Tories’ promise to “get Brexit done.”

The Tories had offered people a carrot with a huge turd on it. And far too many people took the bait.

The “Great Reset”

In June 2020, we first heard about a so called “Great Reset.” This was, supposedly, a proposal to spur economic recovery after the COVID virus by acting “jointly and swiftly to revamp all aspects of our societies and economies.” It is (was?) a project of the World Economic Forum, a Swiss-based consortium of global big-business and political élites.

Al Gore is on the WEF board. And one of those unveiling the “Great Reset” was (the then) Prince Charles. Who travels in helicopters and private jets to give speeches about cutting CO2 emissions. What a hypocrite.

The UK Climate Assembly report

The XR-inspired UK Climate Assembly produced a report in September 2020. The assembly “asked citizens to listen to advice from climate experts,” before setting them to make “a list of recommendations for how the country should reach net-zero emissions by 2050.” All the “experts” involved were alarmists, including the then chief executive of the CCC.

Having been told only about one side of the case, and being asked for “solutions” to a non-problem, it is not surprising that the assembly’s output was garbage. It recommended, among other things, a levy on frequent fliers. A ban on the sale of petrol, diesel and hybrid cars by 2030-35. And a switch to a more biodiversity-focused farming system. What a travesty of “democracy” and “consulting the people!”

The Ten Point Plan

In November 2020, the UK government published their Ten Point Plan for a Green Industrial Revolution. The phrase “green industrial revolution” was lifted by the Tories straight out of Labour’s 2019 manifesto!

I set out my views on these matters here: [[iii]]. In summary, the proposals were, in no particular order: Not properly costed. Not properly thought through. The benefits are unsure. Pie in the sky. Very expensive. Seriously reducing, or even destroying, freedom and mobility for many ordinary people. Disruptive and potentially dangerous. Likely to raise the costs of travel and of trade. Requiring huge investments of money that people don’t have, in order to bring about a lower standard of living than we have now. Already been tried and failed in one country or another. Requiring huge tax rises. And all but certain to tank.

The Sixth Assessment Report

As the date for the IPCC’s sixth assessment report (AR6) approached, the IPCC published a series of Special Reports, each of which seemed to be trying to raise the general level of alarm a little bit higher.

And when the physical science part of AR6, along with the Summary for Policymakers, appeared in August 2021, the “hockey stick” was back! They also, in effect, “airbrushed out” of the record the Roman and Mediaeval Warm Periods and the Little Ice Age. The deceit was so obvious, we skeptics didn’t know whether to laugh or cry. Yet the UN secretary-general described the situation as a “climate crisis” and as “code red for humanity.”

The Glasgow CoP meeting

Then there was the UN “Conference of the Parties” meeting in Glasgow in November 2021. Its stated purpose was: “to accelerate action towards the goals of the Paris Agreement and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change.” And its theme was: “uniting the world to tackle climate change.” Its most notable event was Boris Johnson’s hypocrisy in flying back from Glasgow by private jet for no better reason than a dinner engagement.

The green leviathan, at last, encountered a degree of resistance from a few countries, that had worked out that it wasn’t in their interests to stay on that bandwagon much longer. That was encouraging; but not nearly enough yet.

Ukraine

In February 2022, the Russians started a war in Ukraine. This aggravated the energy problems we were already suffering, and started a spiral of rising cost of living and inflation for us all. It also enabled the alarmist camp to blame steeply rising energy costs on gas prices, rather than on the true culprit, intermittent and unpredictable “renewable” energy sources that de-stabilize the electricity grid.

Just Stop Oil

In April 2022, Extinction Rebellion and another extremist group, Just Stop Oil, organized “mass protests” against human use of fossil fuels. They claimed they would mobilize three and a half per cent of the UK population (more than 2 million people!) Yet their protests were confined to central London and a few oil depots. And only a few hundred were arrested.

Sri Lanka

In Sri Lanka, by early March 2022 a government-mandated transition to organic agriculture had caused the production of rice (Sri Lankans’ staple food) and tea (their main export) to plummet by more than 20% in just a few months. Failure of the harvest led to the mass protests, that during July unseated from power Sri Lankan president Rajapaksa and several of his family. As of late July, 22 per cent of Sri Lankans were in need of food aid.

What this showed is that politicians’ green meddling costs, not only prosperity, but also peace and lives. It is not “climate change” or “biodiversity loss” that are dangerous, but policies made in the name of “fighting” them.

The Netherlands

In the Netherlands, the world’s second largest food exporter, farmers had been protesting since 2019 against EU regulations to halve emissions of gaseous nitrogen compounds, particularly ammonia, by 2030. These regulations were part of the so-called “Green Deal.” The protests spread to other countries, notably Germany, Italy, Spain and Poland.

And yet, it is not at all clear that emissions of nitrogen compounds from farming have ever caused any significant negative effects. It is claimed that there is a loss of “biodiversity” in certain areas that are part of an EU project called “Natura 2000.” Yet, can anyone name even one species that has become extinct in the last 30 years, with that extinction proven beyond reasonable doubt to have been caused by modern farming practices?

This was deliberate destruction of the most productive agricultural industry in the world. Furthermore, there are likely to be knock-on effects on food security all over Europe. It is not surprising that the political “climate” in the Netherlands since then has changed significantly in favour of the farmers.

The Sharm-el-Sheikh CoP meeting

The CoP 27 climate meeting took place in November 2022 in an Egyptian luxury resort. There were, as usual, many attendees arriving by private jet. As so often, on top of their thinly veiled arrogance and pervasive dishonesty, you could see the extreme hypocrisy of many climate alarmists. They want to force draconian and damaging restrictions on how ordinary people live, while themselves enjoying their jet-setting, limo-riding lifestyles, many of them at taxpayer expense!

They agreed to a crazy idea, first mooted in 2012, called a “damage and loss fund.” This is supposed to be paid into by Western taxpayers, supposedly to compensate “vulnerable countries hit hard by climate disasters” for the (unproven) bad effects on the climate, that are claimed to have been caused by industrialization.

But this scheme is no more than a continuation and enlargement of “foreign aid” scams already in place, that force poor people in rich countries (that’s us) to pay vast sums for the benefit of rich people in poor countries (like the Rajapaksa dynasty in Sri Lanka). Any Western politician that has even been willing to contemplate such a scheme is a traitor to those they are supposed to “represent.”

The UK Tory government

Meanwhile, the Tory government continued to act as if they were above the rule of law. Many of the lockdown laws they made were ethically very dubious, and seriously violated the human rights of the people they were supposed to be serving. And they broke their own laws, as shown by the Partygate scandal.

Almost every week, there were proposals for new restrictions on our behaviour. And they, and Labour after them, have continued to pursue schemes like “digital identity” and “central bank digital currencies,” which will enable them to closely monitor even our smallest transactions, and so to tax us yet more and more harshly.

Labour and “Change”

In July 2024, the UK public kicked the Tories out at the general election. Labour, with their manifesto called “Change,” got one of the biggest parliamentary majorities since the 1930s, despite getting only 20% of eligible votes. Giving them, and Mad Ed Miliband their nett zero tsar, carte blanche to do just what they want. Which, predictably, is even worse than what the Tories were doing to us.

Prime minister Keir Starmer, at CoP 29 in Azerbaijan, made “an ambitious commitment to cut UK emissions by 81 per cent by 2035, compared with 1990 levels.”

There was a private member’s “climate and nature bill,” publicly supported by over 190 MPs, including all 72 Liberal Democrats. It includes proposals as radical as ending the use of fossil fuels as soon as possible, government taking over farming, destroying economic freedom, and establishing a presumption against nuclear power. I wrote about the bill here: [[iv]]. Its second reading was held in January 2025, but has now been adjourned until May 2026.

Despite all this, there is a feeling of “climate change” in the air. A turning point, a tipping point, call it what you will. There is, at last, a feeling that all the pressures that our enemies have built up can be turned around, and made to rebound to their disadvantage. Many people have felt it, as shown by Reform UK’s surge in membership and popularity in recent months – even despite its internal differences.

I myself sense this change, too. The mainstream media, and those of the general public who still let themselves be influenced by them, may continue to believe in the green and climate agenda – for a while. But those of us, who concentrate on the evidence, aren’t fooled. And the general public as a whole seem to be becoming less and less taken in as time goes by.

2025: coming up Trumps?

On the other side of the pond, however, things are much rosier since Donald Trump began his second term in the White House in January 2025. You can disagree with some of Trump’s policies – like the tariffs. But his record over the last few months on climate and energy has been excellent.

He has challenged the 2009 EPA “endangerment” finding on greenhouse gas emissions, that labelled carbon dioxide as a “pollutant.” It has now been axed. He has (for the second time) ditched the 2015 Paris agreement. He is seeking to relax fuel economy standards for vehicles. He is reversing a ban on incandescent light bulbs, and restoring common sense to regulations on sinks, showers, toilets, washing machines and dishwashers.

He has unleashed DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) on waste, fraud, abuse and overreach throughout the federal government. He is planning job cuts of up to 65% at the EPA. He is re-introducing coal to the US energy mix. He is re-instating leasing and expansion for Alaska’s oil and gas.

He is seeking to end the requirement for industrial plants to report greenhouse gas emissions. He is rolling back many of the energy and climate policies the Biden administration imposed, including subsidies. He has delayed or cancelled many “green energy” projects. He is seeking to re-open a uranium mine. And he has reversed a plan to remove four major hydro-electric dams. Not a bad start in just a little over six months! Americans will be far better off, economically and in their freedoms, because Trump has done these things.

But probably the most far-reaching thing he has done is issue an order to “restore gold-standard science”. It demands that government-funded science, particularly in contested domains like climate change and public health, return to first principles. It must meet the highest standards of evidence, transparency and falsifiability.

He also commissioned a report from five prominent climate realist scientists, that critically reviews the impacts of greenhouse gas emissions on the US climate. The assessment is data driven, and considers natural climate variability as well as human causes. In essence, they did what the IPCC should have been doing all along. The report was published in early August. It looks as if it meets the new “gold standard.” I hope it will prove extremely influential, and will also open up public debate on the issues.

To conclude

I have little doubt that Donald Trump’s revolution in US energy and climate policy will succeed. It already has too much public support, and too much momentum, to be stopped. And its benefits will be noticed, in a big way, by people in other countries. Then, it will be just a matter of time before the deep green agenda is a nightmare of the past.

Those that have pushed the green agenda, and the climate scam in particular, have lied to us and deceived us for decades. We are all poorer and less free because of the deliberate, planned scams they have carried out against us. By their actions, they have committed treason against our human civilization. So, they deserve to be kicked out of our civilization, and denied all its benefits. And they owe us reparations, too.

When the deep green agenda is dead at last, it will be time for blowback. And a “damage and loss fund.” From them, to us.


Saturday, 9 August 2025

A brief history of the green agenda, Part Two: 1993 to 2018

This is the second of three essays about the history of the green agenda. Like the first essay, which told the story up to the Rio Earth Summit of 1992, it is an updated précis of parts of a much longer article, written in 2023. That article can be found here: [[i]].

Post-normal science

In the early 1990s, two academics, Silvio Funtowicz and Jerome Ravetz, came up with an idea they called “post-normal science” (PNS). They claimed this was a new way to use the outputs of science, when standard methods of risk and cost-benefit analysis were insufficient.

Post-normal science describes itself as a problem-solving strategy. It seeks to replace the objectivity and rigour of honestly done science with something much woollier, that it calls “quality.” It seeks the involvement in the decision process of “all those who wish to participate in the resolution of the issue.” And through a concept of “extended facts,” it allows ideas that are not facts to be treated in debate on an equal basis with facts.

Green activist politicians, it seems, saw in PNS a chance to sideline objective science when analysing risks, costs and benefits in environmental matters. So, they could enable activists to direct policy debates towards outcomes that suit their agendas, even when the facts were not supportive. And to prevent objective risk or cost/benefit analysis on environmental policies.

Anti-car policies in the UK

After Rio, the UK media started promoting anti-car policies. Our TV screens showed (staged) pictures of rural roads chock-a-block with cars. Of traffic jams in foggy weather, with smoking exhaust-pipes. Of the aftermaths of accidents. It was hard, even then, to avoid thinking that we drivers were being set up. And organizations that should have defended us, like the Automobile Association, not only abdicated their responsibility, but even took part in the witch-hunt.

This was the start of a long strand of deep green policies in the UK, dedicated to taking away our personal mobility. This was not driven only by mandating reductions in carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. But under the monikers of “air pollution” and later of “clean air,” activists have sought to make driving increasingly difficult and unaffordable for ordinary people. “Safety,” also, has been used as an excuse to place draconian restrictions on us.

The history of anti-car policies in the UK is a long one. I shall, therefore, defer further consideration to a separate essay or set of essays.

The World Business Council for Sustainable Development

Next, “big business” got in on the act. Samuel Curtis Johnson Jr., long-time chairman of S. C. Johnson & Son, Inc. of Racine, Wisconsin, was a very strong supporter of green causes. In 1995, he was a founder of the World Business Council for Sustainable Development (WBCSD). This organization has worked closely with the United Nations ever since.

Today, the WBCSD describes itself as “the leading community of global businesses making sustainability performance a key driver for competitiveness.” And its more than 250 members include Amazon, Apple, Google, IBM, McDonald’s, Microsoft, MasterCard and Visa, banks, Big Pharma, car manufacturers, energy companies, oil companies, food companies, management consultants, and more. A who’s who of rich and often “woke” multi-nationals.

The Second Assessment Report

The IPCC’s Second Assessment Report appeared in 1995. The scientists initially concluded that: “we have no yardstick against which to measure the manmade effect.” But this wasn’t good enough for the politicians. They detailed Sir John Houghton, then chairman of the Scientific Assessment Working Group of the IPCC and also on the UK government’s “Panel on Sustainable Development,” to get it changed.

Houghton ordered Ben Santer, one of the chapter lead authors, to change the conclusion of his chapter. It became: “The body of statistical evidence … now points towards a discernable human influence on global climate.” And the Summary for Policymakers concluded: “The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate.”

Was this not a case of fabricating “evidence” to suit the desired policy? Done by a senior official of the UK government?

The Kyoto Protocol

In 1997, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (CoP) meeting took place in Kyoto. There, many countries adopted the Kyoto Protocol. This “operationalizes the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change by committing industrialized countries and economies in transition to limit and reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions in accordance with agreed individual targets.” China, India and Brazil, sensibly, chose to stay out.

As part of this, European Union members, of which the UK at the time was one, agreed to a binding reduction of CO2 emissions to an average of 92 per cent of 1990 levels during the period 2008 to 2012.

Perversion of the precautionary principle

But perhaps the most significant single thing Samuel Curtis Johnson did to help along the bad policies being imposed on us today, was to host the so-called Wingspread Conference on the Precautionary Principle in 1998. This formed one of the major steps, with which activists succeeded in perverting a philosophical concept called the “precautionary principle.”

This principle started from a common-sense idea: “Look before you leap.” Or even “First, do no harm.” But in several stages, they perverted it into an excuse for governments to take political action against any risk, even if there is no evidence that the risk is significant, or even a real problem. And without taking any account at all of the costs versus benefits of that action to those affected by it, either.

The details of how they carried out this perversion are sufficiently long, that I will delegate that subject to a separate essay of its own.

The Millennium Summit

In 2000, the UN held a Millennium Summit. This led to an agreement between all the UN member states on a set of “Millennium Development Goals,” which were to be achieved by the year 2015.

This was the start of the tyrannical and all-pervasive culture of arbitrary, often collective, and ever tightening targets and limits in matters environmental, which has plagued our lives ever since. The EU has been probably the most eager of the spreaders and enforcers of this culture. But it was the UN that, most of all, drove the process along.

The Third Assessment Report

The IPCC’s Third Assessment Report, in 2001, was the one in which Michael Mann’s now-infamous “Hockey Stick” graph appeared. Based on tree ring measurements, it had a flat “blade” showing global temperatures as being stable until about 1900, then rising precipitately. It got viral publicity. It was eventually discredited (though that process took far longer than it ought to have done), and it had disappeared entirely by the 2013 report.

The BBC

Then there’s the BBC. In early 2006, the BBC held a meeting of what they claimed were “the best scientific experts” to decide their policy on climate change reporting. When the list of attendees was eventually unearthed, it included only three scientists; all alarmists. It also included the Head of Campaigns for Greenpeace.

In that same year, the BBC decided to cut the broadcast time allowed to those skeptical of the catastrophic anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) meme. They sought to deny us skeptics the right for our views to be heard, and the right to call witnesses – including our experts.

Since then, the BBC has often edited interviews with skeptics in a biased way, that made their arguments appear less credible than they actually are. And despite having being ticked off by its regulators, the BBC has continued to maintain a strongly alarmist stance.

The Stern Review

In 2006, the Stern Review was published. This was an (apparent) attempt to provide a cost versus benefits analysis for policy action or inaction on reducing CO2 emissions. It was biased towards political action, and the uncertainties in the numbers on both costs and benefits sides were enormous. Moreover, it made some unreasonable assumptions, which were called out even by mainstream economists.

I plan to address the costs versus benefits saga for CO2 emission reductions in some detail in a separate, later essay.

The Fourth Assessment Report

The IPCC’s fourth assessment report (AR4), issued in 2007, had its problems too. They could not produce any more accurate estimate of the global climate sensitivity (how much temperature rise there would eventually be from a doubling of CO2) than the 2001 report had. Indeed, the range of uncertainties went up.

But when skeptics looked in detail at the many references in the report, it cited several reports from the World Wildlife Fund and Greenpeace! So much for the IPCC assessing “the state of scientific, technical and socio-economic knowledge.” This was just activist pals citing activist pals. Yet the IPCC won a share of the Nobel Peace Prize for this report!

The Climate Change Act 2008

Ironically, on the day of the vote on the UK’s 2008 climate change bill, it snowed in London. The Guardian reported that London had its first October snow in more than 70 years!

The cost versus benefit numbers were based on the Stern review. Not only were they dubious, but they had a huge range of uncertainty too. They were not fit for purpose. Yet the politicians went ahead regardless. This was extremely dishonest and reckless towards us, the people who would be expected to pay for the policies they were putting in place.

They also set up a system of five-year “carbon budgets.” Very Soviet.

Climategate

On to November 2009, and “Climategate.” This was a release of e-mails from the climate research unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia. It showed, to those who bothered to look, that alarmists had interfered with the review and publication process for papers on which the IPCC was supposed to rely. They had dropped, spliced or misrepresented data to produce alarming effects. They had refused to share data to allow others to replicate their work. They had plotted to delete data to evade Freedom of Information requests. They had conspired against journal editors who published skeptical papers. And more. What they were doing was not science. Nor was it honest.

The UK government commissioned no less than three inquiries into Climategate. First, a parliamentary committee, which seemingly chose to avoid the most important questions. Second came the Oxburgh inquiry, which did not interview any critics of the CRU, and did not address work done for the IPCC. The third inquiry, under Muir Russell, again avoided answering the important questions, and the ones it did investigate were largely irrelevant. So, all the important issues “fell through the gaps” between the three inquiries.

The Copenhagen CoP meeting

At the 2009 CoP meeting in Copenhagen, an agreement was made that “actions should be taken to keep any temperature increases to below 2 degrees C.” The 2 degrees Celsius figure seems entirely arbitrary.

The EU committed to reducing CO2 emissions to 80 per cent of 1990 levels by 2020, or 70 per cent if other countries were willing to do the same.

The Doha CoP meeting

At the Doha CoP in 2012, the “rich nations” agreed in principle to discuss a “loss and damage” mechanism. Raising the spectre of politicians using such a mechanism as an excuse to saddle the people they are supposed to be serving with whatever exorbitant costs they fancy. Without ever having to prove that any of the claimed “damage” was actually caused by the people they are saddling with those impositions.

The Fifth Assessment Report

The IPCC’s fifth assessment report appeared in 2013. It gave no central estimate for climate sensitivity at all! Apparently because of “a lack of agreement on values across assessed lines of evidence and studies.” It gave a “likely” range of 1.5 to 4.5 degrees Celsius per doubling of CO2. Skeptical expert Richard Lindzen said of it: “It is quite amazing to see the contortions the IPCC has to go through in order to keep the international climate agenda going.”

The Sustainable Development Goals

In September 2015, the UN convened a “Sustainable Development Summit,” attended by more than 150 world leaders. These included then UK prime minister David Cameron. At that meeting, they agreed a document called Transforming our world: the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. This was, in essence, an update to and extension of the Millennium Development Goals.

As this agenda (otherwise known as Agenda 2030) is driving a lot of the maniacal policies that are being imposed on us in the UK right now, I shall defer the detail to a later essay.

The Paris CoP meeting

In late 2015 there was another CoP meeting, this time in Paris. At which, the politicians sought to reach a binding agreement to keep global temperatures below some completely arbitrary limit. Not that anyone has ever shown that restrictions on CO2 emissions, however large, would actually achieve this target or any other. If we don’t know what caused the earlier warm and cold periods, how can we know that another warm – or cold – period might not kick in again, without human intervention?

The “limit” touted prior to Paris was 2 degrees Celsius above “pre-industrial levels.” But in 2015, it looked, before the El Niño which started in that year, as though global warming had stopped, and was not going to reach 2 degrees above pre-industrial levels, or anywhere near it. So, they decided to lower the limit from 2 degrees to 1.5! Moving the goalposts, no?

The main commitment was: “Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels…” But they also committed to making progressive greenhouse gas reductions, that will go on and on for ever! So, there can never be an end to this process. The alarmists will not, under any circumstances and regardless of the evidence, ever admit that the “global warming” problem, even if it ever was real, has been solved.

And the further through the agreement you read, the more it sounds like an Enabling Act for a world government in all things environmental, in which the “Conference of the Parties” and the United Nations together play the part of Big Brother.

The Katowice CoP meeting

The 2018 CoP meeting in Katowice, Poland, was nothing but an alarm-fest. It was addressed by among others, David Attenborough, Greta Thunberg and Al Gore. Antonio Guterres, secretary-general of the UN, moaned: “We’re running out of time. To waste this opportunity would compromise our last best chance to stop runaway climate change. It would not only be immoral; it would be suicidal.” And they actually expected us to believe any of that crap?

To sum up: The green religion

Looking at all these things together, you may well find yourself, as I have, thinking of deep green environmentalism as a religion. An extremely intolerant one, at that. Not unlike the Catholic church from the late 15th century through the Counter-Reformation. And you may find yourself comparing its leaders and its acolytes with those that sought to subject innocent people to the Inquisitions.

But today’s green religionists are even worse, in one respect at least, than the 15th-century Catholic popes and clerics. They are dishonest, deceitful and reckless, to a level that once you start to piece together the evidence, you will find absolutely incredible.

They have made it easier for activists to win policy battles, even if their opponents have all the evidence. They have sought to sideline the use of objective science in risk and cost-benefit analysis on green policies. And they have “persuaded” (through carrot or stick?) many of the largest commercial organizations into publicly supporting their agendas.

They have fabricated “evidence” to suit policy. They have perverted the precautionary principle into a licence for government to take action against any risk, no matter how small or how unproven. They have collaborated with the UN and the EU to impose on us all a tyrannical culture of arbitrary, often collective, and ever tightening targets and limits. Which, they plan, will continue to be tightened for ever.

They have suppressed the voices of skeptics. They have cited their activist pals in what are supposedly scientific reviews. “Scientists” among them have acted in dishonest ways, that are in no way scientific. And instead of following up and punishing these malfeasances, the UK government whitewashed them.

But there is one big problem for those, that have been doing these things to us for so long. The dishonesty and deceit with which they have acted is so huge, that it cannot remain veiled for ever. And the veils that have covered their tracks are now beginning to tear. When people at last wake up to what has been going on over the green agenda, there will be hell to pay.

And I don’t think that will be all that long now.

Friday, 8 August 2025

A brief history of the green agenda, Part One: 1968 to 1992

This and my next two essays will be updated précis of earlier, longer works on the history of the green agenda. Today, I’m going to relate that history from its earliest rumblings around 1968 up to the Rio Earth Summit of 1992. The original version can be found at [[i]]. It includes links to many official documents about the agenda.

Right from the start, one institution has done more to drive the deep green agenda than any other. That is the United Nations. The UN is an unelected, politicized and unaccountable élite, with a strong globalist and controlling tendency. It has dozens of agencies, through which it keeps a finger in every pie. But it also has an uncanny level of influence over the governments of its member states, and in particular the UK.

The Biosphere Conference

When I try to put a start date on the green agenda, it is 1968. That year, UNESCO held in Paris a Biosphere Conference. This led to a “Man and the Biosphere” program, billed as “an intergovernmental scientific programme that aims to establish a scientific basis for enhancing the relationship between people and their environments.” It is still going!

The first Earth Day

The UN’s green agenda became plain, to those who could see back then, on the first Earth Day: April 22nd, 1970. (The centenary of Lenin’s birth!) The then secretary-general, U Thant, approved the date. He also personally proclaimed the second Earth Day the following year.

Scares of the 1970s

In the 1970s, alarmist pundits competed to paint the scariest scenarios they could about where our civilization was headed. By 1980, they said, air pollution would be so bad that city dwellers would need to wear gas masks; and life expectancy in the USA would be down to 42 years. By 1995, three-quarters or more of all species of living animals would be extinct. And by 2000, not only would there be famines throughout most of the world. Not only would we have run out of oil and of many metals. But there would also have been global cooling of up to 6 degrees Celsius. (Yes, that’s cooling, not warming!).

See here for some scare balloons being flown at the time: [[ii]]. How many of those scares actually panned out? And given that track record, why should any of us believe a single thing any of the alarmists have moaned about since?

The 1972 Stockholm conference

The UN continued to stoke the green fires. In 1972, they convened a Conference on the Human Environment in Stockholm. Olof Palme, the controversial Swedish socialist prime minister, was host. Maurice Strong, whom I regard as the evillest man of the 20th century, was secretary-general. The UK and USA were among 113 nations attending.

This conference produced a report, including a Declaration and an Action Plan. It also led to the creation of the UN Environment Programme (UNEP), with Strong as its first director.

The Declaration sought “to inspire and guide the peoples of the world in the preservation and enhancement of the human environment.” Supposedly, “for the benefit of all the people and for their posterity.” Sounds good, doesn’t it? But with hindsight, we see some very tyrannical things in there, too. For example, “the release of heat, in such quantities or concentrations as to exceed the capacity of the environment to render them harmless, must be halted.” And the report provided apparent justification for the Chinese communists’ inhumane and failed one child policy.

The report also recommends that governments “be mindful of activities in which there is an appreciable risk of effects on climate.” And it gave the UN’s World Meteorological Organization (WMO) a role of guiding and co-ordinating countries’ efforts to “monitor long term global trends in atmospheric constituents and properties which may cause changes in meteorological properties, including climatic changes.”

The World Charter for Nature

In 1982, the UN introduced a resolution called the World Charter for Nature. This mandated, among much else, that “Nature shall be respected and its essential processes shall not be impaired.” “The genetic viability of the Earth shall not be compromised.” And: “All areas of the Earth, both land and sea, shall be subject to these principles of conservation.” Sounds good, no? But do you not see the totalitarian agenda behind those honeyed words?

Oddly, the Charter doesn’t mention climate. But it does contain some extreme statements, like: “Activities which might have an impact on nature shall be controlled.” “Their proponents [of activities likely to pose a significant risk to nature] shall demonstrate that expected benefits outweigh potential damage to nature.” And: “Where potential adverse effects are not fully understood, the activities should not proceed.”

This is red meat for those with tyrannical leanings. Very cleverly, it inverts the burden of proof, and requires those they accuse of causing a risk to nature to prove a negative. In the process, denying us one of our most basic human rights: the presumption of innocence.

You can also see some premonitions of policies we suffer under today. “Special protection shall be given to … the habitats of rare or endangered species.” “The allocation of areas of the earth to various uses shall be planned.” (By whom?) And: “Resources, including water, which are not consumed as they are used shall be reused or recycled.”

But the kicker is at the end. “Each person has a duty to act in accordance with the provisions of the present Charter; acting individually, in association with others or through participation in the political process, each person shall strive to ensure that the objectives and requirements of the present Charter are met.” Where on earth did “democratic” politicians get the right to make such a huge, open-ended commitment on behalf of every single individual they are supposed to be serving, without at the very least full and open debate, objective and honest cost-benefit analysis, and a referendum?

The resolution was passed by 111 votes to 1, with 18 abstentions. Only the USA voted against. The UK voted for the resolution! In my view, every government that signed up to that resolution, including Thatcher’s, committed treason against the people they were supposed to serve. They all breached two cardinal tenets of Enlightened government: that government must always act for the benefit of, and with the consent of, the governed.

Our Common Future

Our Common Future was the 1987 UN report, that set the scene for the deep green agenda that has brought us to where we are today. On its 30th anniversary, I wrote a review of that report: [[iii]].

To give a brief summary: Our Common Future was the nexus where two strands of UN activity, one environmentalist and the other internationalist or globalist, joined together. The early history of the environmentalist strand, I have covered above. The globalist strand came out of Willy Brandt’s commission, which in 1980 produced A Programme for Survival, followed in 1983 by Common Crisis North-South: Co-operation for World Recovery.

The chair of the 23-strong commission that wrote Our Common Future was Norwegian prime minister Gro Harlem Brundtland. She was a vice-president of the Socialist International, and had several posts with the UN, including director-general of the World Health Organization from 1998 to 2003, and UN special envoy on climate change from 2007 to 2010.

The report raised concerns about 14 issues, including desertification, forest clearing, loss of biodiversity, acid rain from pollution, catastrophic global warming caused by anthropogenic CO2 emissions, ozone layer depletion, loss of coral reefs, and population growth. It also introduced a novel concept of “sustainable development,” that “meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs.”

When, back in 2017, I reviewed how far we had come in addressing these concerns, I found that desertification no longer appears to be a problem. De-forestation has been greatly reduced. Allegations of species or bio-diversity loss cannot be substantiated without far more hard evidence. The problem labelled “acid rain” has been fixed, by hugely cutting emissions of sulphur dioxide and nitrogen oxides; though the doomsayers have sought to keep up their alarums, by re-badging the problem, first as “air quality,” then most recently as “clean air.” Allegations of humans causing catastrophic global warming are no longer scientifically credible: they are now an entirely political matter. Ozone depletion, whatever its cause, seems to be all but solved. Claims that coral reefs would be all but gone by the early 2000s have been shown to be false. And population growth is not a problem in the developed world; birth rates in almost all Western countries are below replacement levels. Haven’t we done well?

Moreover, the 2022 famine in Sri Lanka has shown that catastrophic consequences come, not from environmental damage caused by human civilization, but from policies implemented in the name of the UN’s “sustainable development.” And yet, the activists and alarmists continue to scream their accusations at the tops of their voices.

The IPCC and its First Assessment Report

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was founded in 1988. It produced its First Assessment Report in 1990.

At that time, scientists could not detect any signal of carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted by human civilization causing any temperature rise over and above “natural” variation. The report projected a rise of 0.3 degrees C per decade in global temperatures, leading to 2025 temperatures that would be a little over 1 degree C higher than 1990’s. According to the US National Centers for Environmental Information [[iv]], the actual temperature trend from July 1990 to June 2025 has been about three-quarters of this: 0.23 degrees C per decade.

The Rio Earth Summit of 1992

Then there was the UN’s 1992 Rio Earth Summit, which then UK prime minister John Major attended. Indeed, Major was the first Western leader to announce that he would be there. At that summit, Major and his aides signed us up to the extreme green agenda that was on offer.

Our supposedly democratic representatives signed us up to an internationalist project that, inevitably, would cause great pain to the people they were supposed to be serving. They must have known that. Yet they did it anyway.

A number of different agreements were made. I’ll say a few words about four of them.

Framework Convention on Climate Change

In the Framework Convention on Climate Change, Western countries agreed to restrict their greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2000. Even at the time, this was already a binding agreement.

The Convention sought to achieve “stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” Required “policies and measures to protect the climate system against human-induced change.” And re-defined “climate change” as: “a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition of the global atmosphere and which is in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods.”

So, now we know. Climate change, because of the way the UN defines it, has to be our fault! Again, they denied us our right to the presumption of innocence.

This Convention also set up the UN’s Conference of the Parties (CoP) meetings, which have led to many subsequent commitments by governments.

Rio Declaration on Environment and Development

The Rio Declaration on Environment and Development brought to prominence the UN’s all-embracing goal called sustainable development.

 “The right to development must be fulfilled so as to equitably meet developmental and environmental needs of present and future generations.” And: “States should reduce and eliminate unsustainable patterns of production and consumption and promote appropriate demographic policies.” A recipe for global tyranny and slavery, methinks; if not also for genocide. Meanwhile, the Declaration highlights the important roles the UN envisaged for women, youth and indigenous people. Sexist, ageist and racist, no?

Moreover, this Declaration brought about the first stage of the perversion of the precautionary principle, which successive governments have used ever since to “justify” restrictions on our rights and freedoms, without ever having to objectively assess risks, or costs versus benefits.

That perversion is a large enough subject, that I shall later devote a whole essay to it.

Agenda 21

Agenda 21 was a blueprint for the kind of world the élites have long wanted, and are now trying, to enforce on us. They envisaged a deeply green and feminist world, with recycling all but a religion, most of us crammed into cities and using “high-occupancy public transport,” and a “culture of safety.”

The Convention on Biological Diversity

The Convention on Biological Diversity reported a concern that “biological diversity is being significantly reduced by certain human activities,” without saying what those activities were. And exhorted contracting parties to seek out activities which might reduce biological diversity, and to regulate or manage them.

That sounds like a wet dream for bureaucratic meddlers, no? Which has, indeed, eventuated.

To sum up

Everything that took place on the green agenda prior to 1992, was part of the build up to the Rio Earth Summit. I find it impossible to believe that all this wasn’t carefully planned, not only by Maurice Strong and other UN functionaries, but by very many politicians and government officials in countries around the world. Including successive UK governments, Labour and Conservative.

At Rio in 1992, our “representatives” signed us up to a whole raft of commitments, that they must surely have known were utterly opposed to the interests of those they were supposed to represent and serve. They set something they called “the environment” up on a pedestal, like a god. They made out that this was more important than the human environment, the rights and freedoms that we need. So, they set us the people of the UK, without any chance to object, on a course that would inevitably lead to us losing our prosperity, rights and freedoms. And they did it gladly!

As I like to put it, they sold us all down the Rio.

Friday, 1 August 2025

The Nolan Principles and DOGGHIE

(Image credit: Civil Service College)

In 1994, then UK prime minister John Major appointed a senior judge named Michael Nolan as chair of the newly formed Committee on Standards in Public Life. And he asked the committee to produce a report within six months. The terms of reference were: “to examine current concerns about standards of conduct of all holders of public office, including arrangements relating to financial and commercial activities, and make recommendations as to any changes in present arrangements which might be required to ensure the highest standards of propriety in public life.” This need arose because of a number of scandals around that time, notably the “cash for questions” scandal.

The resulting report, published in 1995, was entitled “Standards in Public Life.” It can be downloaded here: [[i]]. The original statement of the principles, as “The Seven Principles of Public Life,” is on page 14. But the wording, having evolved over the intervening almost 30 years, is now significantly different from that in the original. The latest wording can be found here: [[ii]].

Who do the principles apply to?

The preamble says that the principles: “apply to anyone who works as a public office-holder. This includes all those who are elected or appointed to public office, nationally and locally, and all people appointed to work in the Civil Service, local government, the police, courts and probation services, non-departmental public bodies (NDPBs, aka quangos), and in the health, education, social and care services.” It goes on: “All public office-holders are both servants of the public and stewards of public resources. The principles also apply to all those in other sectors delivering public services.”

That covers, in my estimation, pretty much anyone whose job is paid for with taxpayers’ money, and who has any influence at all on government policies or on their implementation or enforcement. We, the people of the UK, should therefore be entitled to expect that everyone in government, including politicians at all levels, civil servants in all government departments, quangocrats, police, court staff, and all staff in all the major government service providers and their contractors, will keep strictly to, and always bear in mind, these principles in everything they do in their jobs.

According to the Good Government Institute, the Nolan principles have proved influential, and are enshrined in codes of conduct across the UK public sector, from schools and government departments to hospitals. They have also been incorporated into the Ministerial Code, the Civil Service Code and the Civil Service Management Code. And many local authorities, charities and educational and healthcare bodies claim to adhere to the principles.

Let us now look at what each of the principles says.

Selflessness

“Holders of public office should act solely in terms of the public interest.”

A question here: exactly what does “the public interest” mean in the context of democratic government? The usual meaning is “the benefit or well-being of the public.” Here, “the public” must be considered both as an aggregate, and as a group of individuals, each of whom must receive benefit or well-being.

I am reminded of John Locke’s definition of “the public good.” That is: “…the good of every particular member of that society, as far as by common rules it can be provided for.” So, I interpret this principle as requiring holders of public office to act for the benefit of each and every member of the public who pay their wages. And not for the benefit of any particular set of interests, including their own, those of their friends, or those of political party agendas or lobbying groups.

And how well do they keep to it? An obvious example of one that didn’t keep to it is former Tory MP Owen Paterson, disgraced for his advocacy for companies to which he himself was a consultant, that led to multi-million-pound government contracts for those companies.

But I see a wider question as well. If a political policy goes against the public interest, or its costs to the public are greater than the benefits to that same public, are not office holders who promote or support that policy breaking the Nolan selflessness principle? After all, government is supposed to be for the benefit of the people. Is it not?

Integrity

“Holders of public office must avoid placing themselves under any obligation to people or organisations that might try inappropriately to influence them in their work. They should not act or take decisions in order to gain financial or other material benefits for themselves, their family, or their friends. They must declare and resolve any interests and relationships.”

Owen Paterson, very obviously, broke this principle too. But there is, again, a wider question to be asked. Over recent decades, politicians have repeatedly taken on, without our say-so, obligations to, or policy ideas from, external actors. Most notably, the EU, the UN, the World Economic Forum, and multi-national corporations including Big Pharma. These obligations then result in policies being imposed on people in the UK, that go against our interests.

Such policies include all those that have been imposed on us through EU directives, or through agreements with the UN. These include its Sustainable Development Goals and “Agenda 2030,” and particularly projects of its World Health Organization. Today, these policies include, at least, “nett zero,” the extremist approach to air pollution called “clean air,” and the WHO’s “vision zero” road safety scheme.

To make commitments to external parties to impose such policies goes against any idea of democracy, or government of the people by the people. So, are those that promote those commitments, and support those policies, not also violating the Nolan integrity principle?

Objectivity

“Holders of public office must act and take decisions impartially, fairly and on merit, using the best evidence and without discrimination or bias.”

Many environmental policies, in particular, are set on the basis of political commitments made, without any explicit consent from the people, to external actors like the UN and its WHO. And they are set without any regard to their costs, or to the fact that their benefits to the people are highly dubious, if indeed there are any at all. Some decisions, indeed, are made on the basis of no evidence at all – for example, the “climate crisis” declaration of May 2019.

As to decisions being made on merit, in 2020 incoming chancellor Rishi Sunak had the “green book,” which sets the rules for how public sector projects are to be assessed, changed: [[iii]]. Reasons given were that “the process relied too heavily on cost-benefit analysis,” and there was “insufficient weight given to whether the proposed project addressed strategic policy priorities.” This seems to imply that policies governments deem to be strategic, including “nett zero,” are to be exempt from cost-benefit analysis from the point of view of the people they are supposed to be serving! No matter how damaging the effects of those policies will be on us.

Moreover, are not disguising, understating or suppressing the costs of a policy, or overstating its benefits, or failing to do an honest, objective cost-benefit analysis from the point of view of the people affected by it, themselves also violations of the principle? Those who do these things are certainly not behaving as “both servants of the public and stewards of public resources.”

But there’s more. In recent decades, successive governments have more and more picked on scapegoats to be punished, without any impartiality or consideration of merits. For example, small businesses were closed down during COVID, while many larger companies and government offices could continue to operate. And I myself have suffered the destruction of my career as a software consultant through a bad tax law called IR35, supported and strengthened by Labour and Tories alike.

Meanwhile, car drivers have been particularly singled out as scapegoats for heavy taxes and fines, with drivers of some new cars hit for more than £5,000 yearly in vehicle excise duty from April 2025. And the latest victims of Labour’s schemes of plunder are family businesses, and most of all, farmers.

Government, if it is to be legitimate, must act not only in the interests of the people as a whole, but also in the interests of every individual among the governed. Real criminals excepted, of course. So, those that set discriminatory policies, as in my list above, are clearly violating the Nolan objectivity principle.

Accountability

“Holders of public office are accountable to the public for their decisions and actions and must submit themselves to the scrutiny necessary to ensure this.”

Accountability is another word, whose meaning is not as clear as it ought to be. If A is accountable to B, does this mean that B has a legal right to claim recompense from A if A’s actions cause damage to B? If A is government, that certainly isn’t how things work today! Lack of accountability by the “sovereign” for its actions is built in, at a fundamental level, to the Westphalian state system, under which we are forced to live today.

But the idea of scrutiny suggests at least that the decisions of office holders should be routinely audited, by independent and unbiased parties, for compliance with this and all the other principles – selflessness, integrity, objectivity, openness, honesty, leadership. Decisions that fail the test on any of these grounds should not be implemented. And should those, that have made such bad decisions, and thereby damaged the lives or prosperity of the people, not also be required to compensate the victims? Or punished, or sacked, if that is merited?

Does such an auditing process happen today? Not a chance.

Openness

“Holders of public office should act and take decisions in an open and transparent manner. Information should not be withheld from the public unless there are clear and lawful reasons for so doing.”

The recent machinations of both Tory and Labour governments are, surely, far from open and transparent. How about the Tories’ 2020 ruse that exempted projects labelled strategic, including nett zero, from any requirement for cost-benefit analysis? Or Labour’s recent breaking of their manifesto commitment not to raise National Insurance rates?

As for information being withheld… There is an entire industry, both within government and nominally private, whose mission is to prevent truths inconvenient to the establishment from reaching the general public en masse. One example of such a truth is the huge increase in excess deaths since the roll-out of COVID vaccines. Another is that the “science” behind the climate change narrative, and thus behind nett zero, is fundamentally flawed.

Honesty

“Holders of public office should be truthful.”

That politicians routinely lie, is today a truism. Tony Blair’s lies about Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction have even given rise to a popular anagram of his name!

But in my view, honesty needs far more than mere truthfulness. It requires also candidness – that is, telling the whole of the relevant truth. It requires straightforwardness – not attempting to mislead, conceal, confuse or obfuscate. And it requires sincerity – that is, the absence of pretence or deceit.

Do politicians and other office holders today behave with honesty in all its aspects? Don’t make me laugh.

Leadership

“Holders of public office should exhibit these principles in their own behaviour and treat others with respect. They should actively promote and robustly support the principles and challenge poor behaviour wherever it occurs.”

While this is a fine sounding statement, I don’t think it goes nearly far enough. Holders of public office ought always to reflect their stated principles in their own behaviours. They must always practise what they preach. And any kind of hypocrisy is totally unacceptable. Hypocrisy should be a dismissal offence.

Thus, for example, those that promote, support, make or enforce “nett zero” or policies that flow from it, must themselves be seen to live a nett zero lifestyle. There must be no flying to climate conferences (most of all in private jets), or arriving by helicopter to give speeches on reducing CO2 emissions. Those that want to force others to stop driving cars, or flying in planes, or eating meat, must themselves give up those very conveniences and pleasures. And those, that want to phase out the use of fossil fuels, should themselves stop using fossil fuels, and products made using them, altogether. Then, we will be able to see whether or not an economy mired in the UN’s “sustainability” rhetoric is actually sustainable.

Assessment of the principles

The Nolan Principles are considered, in general, to have been a success. One reason is that they are attractive to ordinary people, because they accord with a common-sense understanding of what is right and what is wrong. However, by 2020 some commentators were suggesting that, due to the Tory government’s behaviour over COVID, we had reached a “post-Nolan age.”

Suggestions have been put forward over the years that the principles might be made more explicit, or tightened, or even added to. Reactions to these ideas have been mixed. But what is, to me, the most obvious question does not seem to have been asked. That is: Why not just enforce the damned things? After all, most individuals in government employ have signed a contract committing to upholding the Nolan principles. So, why not call out those that have broken their contracts? Fine them, sack them, even cancel their pensions? Saves money, too.

Local government under Reform

Reform UK has recently taken power in several county councils, including Kent and Greater Lincolnshire. In those places, they have begun to implement a project called DOGE, Department of Government Efficiency, based on the model piloted in the USA by Donald Trump and (for a while) Elon Musk. UK DOGE seems, from all I have read about it, to be entirely a financial exercise. Identify areas of fat, and excise them.

That’s fine, as far as it goes. But might it not be even more powerful, if combined with auditing the ethical basis on which decisions have been made? Would, perhaps, a programme of “Nolan Audits,” identifying failures of selflessness, integrity, objectivity, accountability, openness, honesty and leadership among both elected councillors and local government employees, yield significant benefits to us, the people? Particularly while we are struggling under a burden of ever-increasing local taxes? Much of which are used to fund stuff like cycle paths and 20mph speed limits, that we neither need or want? Or to have police or cameras lying in wait to catch us out driving a smidgeon above some arbitrary limit that wasn’t even there 20 years ago?

Introducing DOGGHIE

My friends, I suggest to you an extension of the DOGE project, which I call DOGGHIE. That is, the Department of Good Government, Honesty, Integrity and Efficiency. It will combine current DOGE projects with what I call Nolan Audits.

It will seek to deliver good government, because it will ensure that all decisions made are in the interests of the people served.

It will seek to deliver truthfulness, honesty, candour, straightforwardness and sincerity in every interaction that government has with the people it is tasked to serve.

It will expose, and ridicule, hypocrisy in all its forms.

It will not allow external parties, such as the UN, EU and WEF, to influence in any way how people in the UK live their daily lives.

It will make all its decisions objectively and justly, based on the evidence, the whole evidence, and nothing but the evidence. It will not discriminate for or against anyone, except on the basis of how they behave.

It will hold decision makers and implementers responsible for the effects of their actions, and will order reparations or punishments as demanded by justice.

Good DOGGHIE!

Sunday, 27 July 2025

The Rhythms of History

(Image credit: Giammarco Boscaro, Unsplash)

Recently, I discussed the ideas of two thinkers of the past, who have greatly influenced me: John Locke and Franz Oppenheimer. Today, I’ll introduce the ideas of another thinker, Jason Alexander, who gave me the foundation for my view of history in the large.

Jason Alexander

Unlike Locke and Oppenheimer, Alexander is not well known. (He is American, but is not the actor of that name!) I met him just once, in San Francisco in 1990, and corresponded with him from time to time until about 2006. In his early years, he was a follower of Ayn Rand; but he was, in effect, expelled from her movement in the 1960s. I am not sure whether or not he is still alive; but if he is, he would now be in his 90s.

He calls his view of history “Ages and Stages.” The big picture is of an ongoing battle between us human beings and those that want to hold us back. This battle involves a series of forward-moving revolutions, during which we make great progress. But these are punctuated by, often long, periods of stagnation or backsliding, which result from counter-revolutions, or reactions, launched by our enemies. Alternating ages of light and dark, if you will.

I have adopted Alexander’s scheme of revolutions and counter-revolutions as the basis of my large-scale view of human history. However, there are considerable differences of detail between us. In particular, my list of revolutions is not the same as his.

From this point on, therefore, I shall be discussing my own views rather than his. For those of you who only know me as a Reform UK person and campaign manager, let me introduce my alter ego – Neil the political (and ethical) philosopher!

Human Nature

I shall now give my view of the nature, which is shared by all human beings today. And of the natural imperatives, which dictate to us how we should behave.

Control over our surroundings

At the most fundamental level, it is natural for us to take control of our surroundings, to use them for our benefit, and to leave our mark on them. It is a major, and vital, part of our nature.

This is why we build buildings, take part in economic activity, and engineer solutions to make the world a better place for us to live. It is what elevates us from mere animals into human beings. It is also what leads us to seek to build civilizations, which can provide us with the environment in which we are able to fulfil ourselves.

Reason

Beyond this, it is natural to us to seek to understand what we see around us and what we experience. To do this, we need to use our faculties of reason.

We need to examine the world as we see and experience it. We need to seek the true facts from the evidence, from all the evidence, and only from the evidence. And we need to think rationally, logically and honestly in our efforts to understand more and better.

The natural law of humanity

At the level of the individual, it is natural for each of us to behave in ways, that better our species and move it forward. Put another way, for human beings, just as for all other sentient species, there is a “natural law” or as John Locke called it “law of Nature,” which, if we choose to study it, can tell us what are the right and wrong ways for each of us to behave. John Locke paraphrased this law as follows: “being all equal and independent, no one ought to harm another in his life, health, liberty or possessions.”

I myself call this law the natural law of humanity. And those who behave up to the natural law of humanity, I call human beings worth the name.

Civilizations

Moreover, we are social. While every one of us is an individual, each with our own body and mind, it is natural for us to associate with others. And doing so brings us advantages as individuals, such as the division of labour. Thus, the ethically right behaviours for each of us include those which enable us to function effectively as members of a civilization. Such as respecting the human rights of those who respect our own equal and opposite rights.

Above the level of the individual, it is natural for us to form ourselves into social groups, and to organize them in such a way as to bring benefits to everyone in them. By doing this, we build civilizations, providing the habitat in which we human beings can live our lives to the full. When such civilizations succeed, the results can grow to a large scale. And they can endure over time, sometimes for many generations, or even for centuries.

Economic activity

We have always been by nature an economic species. Economic activity – Franz Oppenheimer’s “economic means” – is how we interact with each other when seeking to co-operate together to take control of our surroundings. It is natural for us to be creative, to solve problems, and to trade with each other for mutual benefit.

The habitat we need is one of peace and tranquillity, dignity and respect for our humanity, individual justice, human rights and freedoms, a free market, and free trade. In which we can all ply our trades and businesses, develop and make use of our skills, and enjoy the rewards we earn. The purpose of building civilizations is to provide such a habitat for all human beings worth the name.

Five Revolutions

Since the Neanderthal extinction around 40,000 years ago, I identify five periods of history, during which we human beings have been rapidly moving forward. Each of these periods seems to have had a characteristic flavour of revolutionary change for the better.

The Neolithic revolution

The first was the Neolithic revolution of about 12,000 years ago, just as the Earth came out of the last ice age. That was the point at which we differentiated from, and became superior to, mere animals. And it was a practical revolution.

Our ancestors began to settle down in communities, to cultivate crops, and to domesticate animals. We began to put into action the part of our nature, which leads us to take control of, use for our benefit, and leave our mark on, our surroundings. The paradigm of our first revolution was Humanity. We found the essence of what makes us human.

Ancient Greece and Rome

Our second revolution, a mental one, was seeded in ancient Greece, beginning in the early 6th century BC with Thales of Miletus. Its paradigm was Reason.

It led us to think rationally and abstractly; for example, to do mathematics and philosophy. It enabled us to build new and better kinds of civilization, such as Athenian democracy. And among the civilizations which grew out of this revolution was Rome, which managed to incorporate, and to build on, some of the best of the Greek culture.

The Renaissance

Our third revolution was the Renaissance, starting in the mid-15th century. Its paradigm was Discovery. Of ideas both old and new, of new places, of ourselves. It was, for want of a better word, a spiritual revolution; a rise of the human spirit.

The Renaissance brought, not just a re-discovery of ancient learning, but a movement towards what became known as “Renaissance humanism,” with new moral perspectives and a feeling of cultural renewal. It helped us to emerge from the tyranny of the Catholic church and the feudal political system. It brought a sense of renewed confidence in our own faculties. And it brought a new sense of freedom for us human beings, who had for so long been suppressed by orthodoxy.

The Enlightenment

Our fourth revolution was the Enlightenment. Seeded by John Locke in the 1680s, it grew towards fruition during the 18th century. Like the second, it was a mental revolution. Its paradigm was Freedom. From it have flowed all the (relative) freedoms we have enjoyed in the West over the last three centuries. And it brought new ideas, more friendly to the individual than before, that are commonly called “Enlightenment values.”

Enlightenment values included: The use and celebration of human reason. Rational inquiry, and the pursuit of science. Greater tolerance in religion. Individual liberty and independence. Freedom of thought and action. The pursuit of happiness. Natural rights, natural law of humanity, natural equality of all human beings, and human dignity. The idea that any society exists for the individuals in it, not individuals for the society. Constitutional government of the people, by the people, for the people; as so memorably expressed by Abraham Lincoln. Government for the benefit of, and with the consent of, the governed – all the governed, real criminals excepted. The rule of law: that is, those with government power, such as lawmakers, officials and judges, should have to obey the same rules as everyone else. An ideal of justice which, as put forward by Immanuel Kant, allows that “the freedom of the will of each can coexist together with the freedom of everyone in accordance with a universal law.” A desire for human progress, and a rational optimism for the future.

The Industrial Revolution

Our fifth revolution was, and still is, the Industrial Revolution. Like the first, it was a practical revolution. Its paradigm was and is Creativity, supported by the free market, free trade and honest business. It has enabled people in those countries, which have fully embraced it, greatly to increase their standard of living. And so, greatly to increase people’s quality of life and chances of happiness.

It has also enabled us human beings to take greater and greater control over our physical surroundings, and to use them more and more for our own advantage.

Five counter-revolutions

But each of our forward-movement revolutions is eventually followed by a regressive, anti-human counter-revolution from those that are hostile to us human beings and to our progress.

The state

Our enemies’ first counter-revolution, starting perhaps around 3,200 BC, was the rise of the political state. And the state itself – a top-down system, that enables an élite forcibly to rule over a, potentially large, group of people – was its counter-paradigm. What our enemies did back then was pervert the part of our nature which seeks to control our surroundings, into an insatiable desire for them to control us.

Institutional religion

The second counter-revolution began in the 4th century AD, when Christianity became the official religion of the Roman empire. The counter-paradigm was institutional religion, and the church that embodied it. Against our natural urge to look at reality and think rationally about it, churchmen promoted dubious dogmas and mumbo-jumbo.

The church, along with the dogmas and narratives it peddled, enabled the unscrupulous to control people mentally, just as the state enabled them to control people physically. This led to the Dark and Middle Ages.

Orthodoxy, tyranny and dishonesty

The third counter-revolution, which followed the Renaissance, had three main strands: orthodoxy, tyranny and dishonesty.

The pressures for orthodoxy were supplied mostly by the church; though often, kings and princes helped them along, too. Meanwhile, tyranny and dishonesty, already features of many states, became all but enshrined in the idea of the state through the work of Niccolò Machiavelli. He prompted rulers to be sly, deceitful, and unscrupulous; as well as cruel, oppressive and heartless.

Collectivism

Our enemies’ fourth counter-revolution began in the 18th century. It was based, at its root, on a collectivist reaction against the Enlightenment and the values it had brought.

Over time, a slew of political ideologies emerged, all of which were hostile to the human individual, and to his and her rights and freedoms. Socialism, nationalism, communism, fascism, social or religious conservatism, élitism, or false “liberalism,” for example. And all these ideologies inexorably increased the power of the state, and the scope of what it did. The result? Continuing oppressions and wars world-wide.

Suppression

Our enemies’ fifth counter-revolution has been growing for the last 80 years or so. It began during the second world war, with the events that led to the formation of the current international order. Its counter-paradigm is Suppression. Suppression of truth, suppression of rights and freedoms, suppression of prosperity, suppression of our humanity and our creativity. Suppression of us human beings.

The main thrust of our enemies’ fifth counter-revolution today is a push to suppress our industrial civilization, to shut down the economic free market, and to use taxation, regulation and extortion to squeeze us ordinary human beings out of existence.

In the UK, the extremists among our enemies – including many prominent individuals among all the mainstream political parties – want to halt the use of fossil fuels (and so also of all products made using them), and to destroy economic freedom entirely. If not stopped, the result will be the destruction of prosperity and freedom for everyone, except (for a while) for a clique of self-serving élites. And, looking further out, the extinction of the human species.

The UN and Maurice Strong

The fifth counter-revolution is being hurried along by the EU, successive UK governments (both Tory and Labour), and many other national governments, notably in the “Anglosphere” and in Europe. But it is in origin a product of, and is most of all being driven by, the United Nations. The recent decision by the International Court of Justice, the UN’s highest court, that says that those claiming to have been harmed by human-caused climate change are entitled to “reparations,” is the latest proof of this: [[i]].

The Canadian former oil baron, Maurice Strong, was the individual that, more than any other, perverted the UN into a bureaucracy intent on destroying human civilization, and in particular Western industrial civilization. Strong was, among much else, secretary-general of the UN’s Rio Earth Summit in 1992.

Indeed, I rate Strong as the evillest man of the 20th century. Ahead, indeed, of Stalin, Mao, Hitler and Pol Pot. Those four all set out to commit genocides against particular groups of people. But Strong set out to commit genocide against our entire civilization. He gave this away in a 1997 magazine interview, in which he said: “Frankly, we may get to the point where the only way of saving the world will be for industrial civilization to collapse.” Over several decades, Strong influenced those around him in the UN, including those at the very top, to move towards provoking that collapse.

Where are we today?

It is these provocations, prompted by Strong and others almost as evil – politicians, bureaucrats, globalists and internationalists, wannabe dictators, corporate bosses and billionaires, dishonest academics, and many more – that we human beings are suffering under today. Those that seek to destroy human civilization claim to care about the environment. But they don’t care about the most important environment of all – the environment for human beings worth the name, the environment in which we can fulfil ourselves.

Ask yourself: Do we human beings, today, have the environment of peace, dignity, freedom and justice, which we need in order to flourish? Surely not. Our daily lives are watched as never before. Our basic rights, such as privacy and freedom of speech, are in serious danger. Indeed, our enemies want to label as “misinformation,” and suppress, any statement – however factual – that contradicts their narratives. And senseless wars continue in places like Ukraine and Gaza.

Moreover, the absolute basics of developed civilization, such as affordable, reliable energy, transport that meets our needs, and a free market economy, will soon be taken from us forever, if we let our enemies have their way.

Further, throughout their history, states have re-distributed wealth. Always in favour of the ruling class and their cronies, and at the expense of everyone else. But today, predatory taxation, impositions, and extortion – for example, fines for breaking of arbitrary rules by people merely going about their daily lives, without harming or intending to harm anyone – have increased to a level that is unbearable. And many people who are poor financially as well as politically, such as small business people and pensioners, are among the hardest hit.

So, life for ordinary people has become, more and more, an Orwellian nightmare. Far from creating and maintaining the human environment of peace, dignity, freedom and justice which we need, our enemies are doing everything they can to destroy our environment.

Things must change. And, I think, they are starting to change. The rise to popularity of Reform UK is only one symptom of this change. There is a new feeling in the air, perhaps a resurgence of the human spirit; not unlike the mental changes for the better, which accompanied the Renaissance.

As well as all this, more and more people are starting to wake up to what is being done to them. And they don’t like it.

Where are we headed next? That’s a big question. One which I must, unfortunately, leave for another day.