Images of war (The Autralian) |
Israel has effectively crippled Iran’s military assets and
significantly damaged its nuclear program by assassinating top military leaders
and nuclear scientists. All of this had been meticulously pre-planned and
prepared before the Israeli airstrikes last Friday. Some of Iran’s military
installations were also targeted - carefully mapped out and, in some cases,
booby-trapped with pre-planted sleeper drones in clandestine Mossad missions
that successfully penetrated Iran’s military and scientific establishment.
Prime Minister Netanyahu has clearly stated that Iran can
expect more. This morning, additional nuclear sites were hit by Israeli
airstrikes, along with one of Iran’s oil fields.
Meanwhile, Iran is getting no help from its proxies.
Hezbollah - once considered Israel’s most powerful enemy - has not joined in
Iran’s retaliation. That’s because Israel has already reduced Hezbollah to a
shadow of its former self. Syria is no longer a threat either. And need I
mention how impotent Hamas has become over the past year and a half?
There is no doubt that Israel was fully justified in attacking Iran at this time. Iran had already enriched uranium to weapons-grade levels, and it was only a matter of a very short time before they would have had a working nuclear bomb. The Islamic Republic has made no secret of its goal: to annihilate Israel as a religious obligation. When the supreme leaders of a theocratic regime say they have a divine duty to wipe you off the map - believe them. It’s not a stretch to imagine that once they had ‘the bomb’, they would have used it to achieve their cherished goal.
Israel had no choice but to act. As much as they would have
preferred a diplomatic solution, where Iran would completely dismantle its
nuclear program - that was never going to happen. Those who claim Israel should
have waited until negotiations were exhausted are living in a fantasy world.
There was no better time than now - when Iran’s terrorist
proxies are at their weakest and Iran itself is in its most degraded military
state since the Mullahs took over in 1979. This is in large part due to what
Israel’s military and intelligence apparatus has accomplished over the past
year and a half.
Israel’s goal is not just to destroy Iran’s nuclear program
but to degrade its military to the point of total impotence. I believe they
will succeed. They have already destroyed the Natanz facility, Iran’s primary
site for uranium enrichment. However, Fordow - located deep under a mountain - presents
a more difficult challenge. Israel lacks the heavy-duty ‘bunker-buster’ bombs
needed to penetrate and destroy it.
That said, there is more than one way to skin a cat. I trust
Israeli ingenuity to find ways to damage Fordow from the inside without
dropping a bomb from the outside. Israel surprised both Iran and the world with
their highly successful strike last Friday. I wouldn’t be surprised if they
have more tricks up their sleeve. We’ll see.
Many pundits - mostly leftists, isolationist conservatives,
and the mainstream media - are urging the U.S. president to stay out of the
war, insisting that this is not America’s battle. I understand the fear. No one
wants to see American blood spilled in distant wars. Even Israel’s staunchest
supporters in Congress aren’t advocating for American boots on the ground.
But here’s the thing: a U.S. strike on Fordow would not mean
American boots on the ground. And it would finish off Iran’s nuclear program. The
U.S. has the bunker-busting bombs required. If there were ever a justification
for using them, this is it. If Israel succeeds in every aspect of its mission
except destroying Fordow, a U.S. airstrike becomes a no-brainer.
Of course, America may be drawn in regardless - if Iran
attacks a U.S. base anywhere in the world. In Iranian theology, America is the ‘Great
Satan ‘and Israel the ‘Little Satan’. The Mullahs might be fanatical enough to
provoke the U.S. militarily. The president has already promised ‘hellfire and
brimstone’ if that happens. We’ll see how that unfolds.
A word about regime change: The most ideal outcome set into
motion by October 7th would be if the freedom-loving people of Iran
rise up and overthrow the Mullahs who have ruled their citizens with religious
tyranny for over 45 years. The majority of Iranians despise what their
government has done to their lives. They have lost their freedom. And they want
it back. When large numbers have tried to protest in the past, the regime
responded with brutal force - arresting, torturing, and even executing
dissidents.
Right now, the Mullahs are in the weakest position they’ve
ever been in. There has never been a more opportune time than now for the
Iranian people to take back their country.
If Israel could somehow assassinate Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah
Khamenei - just as it eliminated Hezbollah’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Hasan
Nasrallah - that might be the spark that ignites a revolution and restores
freedom to the Iranian people. In that case, the U.S. and its allies could step
in to help establish a democratic government, free of Islamic tyranny.
Regime change may seem like a pipe dream - but it’s a good one. And not an impossible one. If it were to happen… imagine the possibilities.